Star Wars Episode III teaser trailer

Of course, the Star Wars Episode III teaser trailer is leaking all over the web today. It seems a bit stilted and rough, but my first reaction in the wake of the election is that Anakin's conversion to the dark side, and Emperor Palpatine's evil voice summoning Darth Vader, "Rise..." all feels quite appropriate.
If you want to track down a copy, use your favorite search engine. I found a Quicktime mirror and a BitTorrent, though I'm sure it's spread much wider by now. Or catch a midnight showing of The Incredibles.

Yuta Tabuse

I was trying to problem-solve my Time Warner cable box last night, and I had ESPN on as my test channel. I was behind a rack entangled in wires when I heard the ESPN announcer proclaim the name Yuta Tabuse. Apparently, he's the first Japanese player to make it onto an NBA team.
How did I miss this? They proceeded to show a higlight of Tabuse at the top of the three point line, doing a little head fake and side shuffle behind a high screen and nailing a three pointer. He ended the night with 7 points and 1 assist. He's only 5'9", and what's even more amazing is that I think he served me a Rainbow Roll at the sushi bar last week. Either that or I saw him in The Last Samurai.
Who is Yuta Tabuse? According to this article, he's the "most famous basketball player in Japan" and has a flair for no-look passes on the break. Does Chris Berman have a nickname for him yet? Has he found any decent sushi restaurants in Phoenix? When he matches up against Earl Boykins of Denver, does he signal to clear Stoudamire and Marion out of the post so he can post Boykins up? When will see the SI cover that puts Yao Ming next to Tabuse?
He's the third-string point guard behind Steve Nash and Leandro Barbosa, so we won't see much of Tabuse except at garbage time. What an exciting, quick little trio of guards that will be, tossing alley-oop passes from all over to Stoudamire and Marion. If you're trying to pick a package of games for your local NBA team, you could do much, much worse than catching the visiting Suns.
I also like the Jazz, who just thrashed Kobe Bryant and the Lakers last night. Andrei Kirilenko is now a household name with more than just fantasy hoop players. He's looks like a skinny Ivan Drago on the basketball court, just swatting balls with arms the length of yard rakes, and off the court he's married to a Russian pop star. He recently read Master and Margarita by Bulgakov (good book!). He wears #47 because some of his teammates call him AK-47. He's 23 years old. Good times.

Looking backward, looking forward

Why are so many people blaming the youth vote? I looked at the numbers, and the 18-29 age group was the only age group to prefer Kerry to Bush. On turnout, everyone is criticizing the fact that youths accounted for the same % of the total popular vote as in the last election. What they're missing is the fact that in 2000, only 105.4 million votes were cast. In 2004, we're already over 115 million votes with provisional and absentee ballots still to be counted, and by the time all is done the total will be closer to 120 million. The youth vote made a significant leap forward this year. It just happened to be masked by an increase in turnout across older demographics as well. Given that the youth vote has always accounted for a minority of the total vote, it had to grow by a larger percentage to maintain the same share of the total vote as in the past. I'm sure there's room for improvement, but even though I'm officially not part of the youth demo anymore, I don't think it's fair to scapegoat them. Don't blame the youths, or mock youth vote turnout movements like Rock the Vote or P. Diddy's Vote or Die, for Kerry's loss. If anything, blame the older folks who turned out to support Bush.
[NOTE: This map shows what the election results would have been if decided by 18-29 year olds]
Depressed Cubs fans know there's always next year. Unjustified and exaggerated optimism are an effective numbing agent for the pains of today. Sammy Sosa whining? Let's dump him and replace him with Carlos Beltran.
That mental coping mechanism can work here, as well. In 2008, it's time to pull out the all the stops. Time to match the hot new rookie Barack Obama with established superstar Oprah Winfrey. What a historic ticket that would be, in so many respects.
It may also help to visualize the mathematics of the popular vote across states as a continuum. In that respect, America is spectrum of purple, not a sea of red hemmed in on the West and Northeast by two walls of blue [via BoingBoing]. Come to think of it, though. an arbitrary mixing of red and blue may be just another distortion layered on top of the blue-red dichotomy distortion. Some reds and blues (I know a few myself) just don't mix. To truly find common ground, we need a way to visualize individual issue where liberals and conservatives share common views. I believe such a space exists, though you can only stand there if you really stand there. You can't fly to Paris, stand under the Eiffel Tower, and call yourself a Parisian.
There's also humor. Sad, but true, from The Onion. And again. We're one of the world's most advanced civilizations, but we can't hold an election without suspicions of tampering.
And there's the drink. I'd resort to that old standby, but I have to run that marathon Sunday.

Kerry concedes election to Bush

Kerry concedes, Bush wins with a majority, and Republicans extend their majority in the Senate and House. With Rehnquist ill, Bush will likely appoint the next Supreme Court candidate.
It will be a few days until I can stabilize my emotion center. With the popular vote going Bush's way, I experience again, for the first time in a long time, what it feels to be a minority in my home country. I've read a lot of calls from liberals to keep a cool head, to band together to support the president after this election is over, but what does that mean? Did people expect us to riot and loot? Are we supposed to roll over now and agree with Bush on everything he does?
No way. Bush doesn't get a "get out of jail card free" card. With four more years, we should be able to see, definitively, the outcome of his stewardship of the country.

What is going on?

CNN has reported that some Iowa voting machines have gone down, and many of their polling site staff are exhausted, so they won't be able to issue a final count until tomorrow morning. CNN also reports that Red Sox owner John Henry has been told to prepare his private jet to fly Democratic lawyers to Ohio. There also may be as many as 250K provisional ballots in Ohio that won't be counted for 11 days. 11 days!
I like C-Span's election map (though why does Hawaii show as having 0% of precincts having reported?). Using it, I've created a spreadsheet to help me track the remaining states in play. Why I have no idea. Only Ohio matters now.
Is it too early to think of Obama in 2008? 2012?
It's increasingly clear that I need to go to bed, because no official announcements will come anytime soon. Even if Bush wins, which looks highly likely now, it may be a while before Kerry concedes. I'll give Nevada and New Mexico to Bush, Wisconsin and New Hampshire to Kerry, and leave Ohio and Iowa undetermined (though Ohio looks to be Bush's to lose). That leaves it 259 to 259 by my count.
But someone is conceding this evening, and that's me. I concede that I need to go to bed.

Put us out of our misery...and into more?

Are people still standing in line to vote? How is this possible?
NBC and Fox have given Ohio to Bush. CNN and other stations are still holding out on Ohio. With 93% of precincts in Ohio, CNN has just turned Ohio green. Green? Another color? Has Ohio been overrun by radioactive waste? Turned into a giant garden?
Oh, Wolf Blitzer explains that green means too close to call. In other words, nothing has changed in CNN's opinion. They just wanted to make full use of their color palette.
I'm exhausted, and depressed. I don't know how long I can stay up.

Voter turnout rates

From my limited perspective, it feels as if interest and participation in this presidential election is at an all-time high. I know so many people who helped raise funds, threw political parties, watched the debates, drove to other states to go door-to-door, volunteered to patrol polling sites, and of course, cast ballots. I received two phone calls at home today, urging me to go vote, and was accosted on the streets of NYC by clipboard-toting youths about once a day up until the voter registration deadlines. Online, I encountered countless links to Rock the Vote, a site that made it simple for the Internet-saavy (read: youths) to register to vote. I'm not a huge fan of any motto that begins with "Rock the..." but that huge red checkmark logo is burned into my brain.
But these are just my impressions. Will turnout actually be record-breaking? This paper by Michael McDonald at The Brookings Institution shows that if voter turnout rate, though it was lower on average from 1972 through 2000 than from 1952 to 1968, wasn't as dire as people commonly believe. Rates were artificially depressed by not removing a growing pool of ineligible voters from the denominator. The turnout rate in 1992 was about as high as that in the 60's.
This year's voter turnout rate would need to exceed 63% to break the record set in 1960. A quick glance at the headlines would seem to indicate record turnout, and I've seen estimates of 60%+. Maybe the modern record will be broken. I suspect, and hope, it will.
Still, it's nothing compared to voter turnout rates in other countries around the world (another table and chart).
How can the U.S. raise the turnout rate? For one thing, the voting experience needs to be simpler. I voted absentee in Washington state, where about half the ballots are cast via mail. Oregon votes entirely by mail. Roughly a third of ballots in California are done by mail. I called a toll-free number, a ballot was e-mailed to me, I printed it, filled it out, and dropped it in the mail. Here in NYC, I've heard quite a few stories of long lines, long waits, disorganized polling sites, and voter confusion. That may true of only a few sites, but overall the process of voting at a polling site can't be any easier than voting by mail. Why should working folks and parents with young children have to re-arrange their schedules to wait in line at a polling site they may or may not be able to find when they could simply fill out the form at home and pop it in the mailbox? How about the elderly, who may not be physically able to stand in line for such a long time? It's a sign of how low our voter turnout rates have been historically when people express joy at seeing the staggering length of the line they have to wait in.
I've read articles claiming that voting via the Internet wouldn't significantly increase voter turnout rates. However, in the interest of simplifying the process as much as possible, especially for today's youths who've grown up with the Internet, it needs to happen. People should be able to register, update their addresses and information, check their registration status, and vote online. The commonly cited problems with Internet voting (security, user interface, scaling, etc.) are all solvable.
The goal should be that even the laziest voter should have little excuse not to vote.
The other problem to solve, then, is the problem of objective information (if it's achievable) on all the initiatives and candidates on each state's ballot. The U.S. has one of the longest ballots in the world. The Washington state ballot covered two pages, and I had to vote on all sorts of initiatives and candidates I knew little about. It's easier to find objective information to help someone select a digital camera than a public official. Here, again, the Internet can help. Sites like Vote-Smart are a good start, but their database of information is very thin. Even a simple issues grid for each candidate would be an improvement on what's available today.
Beyond that, perhaps the election process itself should be altered. Heightened interest in the election is good, among other reasons, because it raises scrutiny of current election processes. Many people have been decrying the Electoral College. Perhaps it will be reformed or done away with. To push it even further, would the U.S. ever consider Instant Runoff Voting (IRV) or Ranked Choice Voting? The case for IRV is strong, and San Francisco has implemented it.
Ideas for another day. Today, the ship has sailed. Living on the East Coast, I may have to stay up until tomorrow morning, if not later, to find out the election results. I've been trying to wake up earlier every morning in preparation for the marathon this Sunday, but it will be difficult to keep that promise tonight.
Footnote: The Iowa Electronic Markets Presidential Winner Takes All has made a late shift, and at this momentpredicts a Democratic victory with somewhat less than 52% of the popular vote. I believe Kerry will win.

Chuckle

Crossword aficionados should make sure to complete today's election-themed NYTimes crossword. There's an extra box today, and it's a clever wink at election snafus past.
CNN's Lou Dobbs introduced their election night coverage by describing "an election that pollsters are calling the closest presidential election in years." Was 2000's election not close enough for everyone?

Ryan's first Halloween

Sunday, the weather was gorgeous. I needed the surprising dose of sunshine, and fortunately my schedule contained a morning outing in Central Park with Sharon and my little nephew Ryan. With the marathon coming up this Sunday, deadlines for grad school applications hanging over my head, and the election tomorrow, I haven't been sleeping that well. The sunshine, family, and autumn-hued mosaic that was Central Park was a refreshing break.
I asked Ryan for a GQ pose, and he turned to the side, took a knee, and flashed the "For relaxing times, make it Suntory time" look in this first pic:

In the early evening, Ryan and his playmate Zoe went trick-or-treating in the building. Ryan was dressed as a Chinese man from olden times. Both of them are at the age where they can imitate everything they're taught to say, so they were able to say "trick-or-treat" at every door, though it sounded more like "twickrtwee."

Children's costumes sure have come a long way. The first costume I remember wearing for Halloween was one of those molded plastic masks with two eyeholes and a thin rubber band to secure it to your head. I was Darth Vader, with a mask and plastic cape. Good times, except for that lady who was giving out lone pennies. Even at the tender age of three or four, or however old I was, I discerned that little pleasure was to be had from a single penny, either directly or in barter.

Scaled electoral map

Even though it doesn't make a difference, I find it much more reassuring to look at colored electoral maps scaled based on share of electoral votes than geographically scaled maps.
Because you can't get fat enough from going to McDonalds and picking up a meal, McDonalds offers free delivery in NYC in partnership with Delivery.com.
Another note from my eagle-eyed vigilance for all things giant squid: squid biomass now exceeds that of humans. I keep expecting we'll get footage of a giant squid alive in the ocean one of these days. That or a Cubs World Series victory first? In my lifetime? Please?
Physicists have solved the falling paper problem. It reminded me of the solution to the billowing shower curtain problem.

"Incompetent or incoherent" sounds like a Jeopardy category

The Economist endorses Kerry, though only "with a heavy heart," titling their endorsement "The incompetent or the incoherent"
Some creative Halloween costume ideas from The Stranger for your child, including "The Littlest Prisoner at Abu Ghraib."
Another reality tv show: The Next Food Network Star. The winner gets their own six-episode show on the Food Network.
West Elm's beds don't hold up under wild sex. I walked through their new Chelsea Store the other day and it was mobbed. You'd think that heavy pounding would be a standard stress test for a bed frame.

Goodbye, Steve Stone

Longtime Cubs color commentator Steve Stone has resigned. It's a sad moment for Cubs fans like myself who grew up listening to his color commentary on WGN-TV. This year he was involved in some disputes with Cubs players like Moises Alou and Kent Mercker, and even Cubs manager Dusty Baker and general manager Jim Hendry. Stone didn't pull any punches in the booth, and it rubbed some players and coaches the wrong way. Stone was always fair, and those players and managers should've worried about winning on the field instead of acting like millionaire babies.
Harry Caray was a little loopy (I'm being generous, but we forgive our old and increasingly senile baseball personalities, like Peter Gammons) his last few years in the booth. Stone's patience (he never made a big deal about Caray's many mistakes or mispronunciations) and reasoned insight helped to balance out Caray's more partisan, emotionally driven play-by-play. Now WGN's entire commentary booth will turn over next season since Chip Caray left for the Braves.
True, perhaps none of this affects the team's on-field performance. But the Cubs sure are making it difficult for fans to warm up to the team. It feels, as Seinfeld said, like I really am rooting for laundry.

Review: SidewaysSwingers for middle-aged divorcees

Miles (Paul Giamatti) organizes a week-long bachelor trip for his engaged college buddy Jack (Thomas Haden Church), a jaunt through Northern California wine country. We realize as the movie progresses that Miles has set the trip up as much for himself as for Jack; Miles is the oenophile, the one who loves pinots and syrahs. Jack, a former soap opera star, is an overgrown surfer who chugs wine while chewing gum.
For those who watched Swingers, Jack is Trent, and Miles is Mike. The parallels continue. Miles is divorced but not over his ex-wife Victoria. He's uneasy around women, even those attracted to him, and he over analyzes every situation. Jack is about to be married but hasn't got the inveterate womanizing out of his system. He's an easygoing charmer with the looks of a middle-aged surfer and the personality of one who never grew up. Jack sets them up on a double date with a women who serves them alcohol at a winery (in Swingers it was a cocktail waitress at some off-Strip casino). There's a painful phone call and later a voice message from Miles, though Mike's in Swingers is far more uncomfortable. There's the distribution of condoms. While Jack puts the moves on his date Stephanie (Sandra Oh), Miles has a soulful conversation with his date Maya (Virginia Madsen), a waitress he's met before and has always been attracted to. Later, the two men play a painful round of golf. The territory of male healing treads familiar ground.
The other similarity between the two movies is that they're both very funny. After seeing the trailer, I didn't think I was ready for middle-aged men on a road trip, but the trailer doesn't do the movie justice. Alexander Payne and Jim Taylor (Citizen Ruth, Election, About Schmidt) write dialogue that is always informing us about the characters at the same time that it keeps us laughing. Only a few moments into the movie, and Miles and Jack emerge as distinct personalities with depth. Giamatti, Haden Church, and Madsen are all excellent.
It's always enjoyable to poke fun at oenophiles. Miles, at one point, babbles on about a wine while Jack looks on with wide-eyed incomprehension: "...just the faintest soupçon of asparagus, and, like a nutty Edam cheese." He says all of this with a straight face but can muster none of this eloquence when describing his own emotional hurt.
Payne's comedies have dark souls, though. Unlikeable and somewhat grotesque middle-Americans inhabit his movies (Reese Witherspoon and Matthew Broderick in Election, Jack Nicholson and his daughter's fiancee's family in About Schmidt). The movies seem to elbow us in the ribs, with a pursed lips and a point of the chin: aren't these losers pathetic? Don't you pity them? We hope most of them will find a patch of unpolluted happiness or grace, but the end credits always leave us uncertain.

Hey, what's this iPod thing everyone's fussing over?

Everyone knows by now that Apple released two new iPods today. One is the 20GB black U2 Special Edition iPod with the red clickwheel:

Black is the new white. Consumer electronics recycle through the same pool of finishes, and each is cool in inverse proportion to its ubiquity. There's glossy black, matte black, white, black with wood trim, several varieties of metallic from chrome to brushed chrome to titanium to aluminum, sport yellow, and gold. Black combined with bright red, though, is something I haven't seen before except on Air Jordans. Looks sharp.
The U2 designation is for the engraved signatures of the 4 band members on the back of the iPod, a $50 gift certificate off the The Complete U2, a digital box set collecting over 400 U2 songs, and a U2 poster. Personally, I'd rather just have the option to customize the color of my iPod and its clickwheel. And what's a digital box set?! That term should be reserved for music that comes in a really cool physical package.
The other new iPod is the iPod Photo. Here is a photo of a photo on the iPod, umm, Photo:

The 40GB version costs $499, the 60GB version $599. Steve Jobs said photos and music on the iPod make much more sense than video and music on the iPod, and I agree. However, the iPod Photo is slightly lacking.
The main problem? The only way to get my photos from my digital camera onto the iPod Photo is to first transfer the pics to my Mac laptop or desktop and then push them across via iTunes/iPhoto. I'm sure some third parties will introduce some media card readers, but I already have a gazillion media card readers and cables. I want less of those, not more. I would have preferred either a USB port for direct photo transfer or a media card slot (or both; I'm leaving wireless out at this point b/c it's probably too much to ask for). Then I could leave my laptop at home while traveling and simply xfer photos from my digital camera onto my iPod, using it as both portable music player and portable photo hard drive. While traveling, I could share photos in slide show format on the iPod or on a television without having to bust out a massive laptop.
The iPod Photo is cool, but only in an evolutionary, not a revolutionary sense. I'd love one, but with those price and feature set coordinates, I'm not in heat. I do need to put my 1st generation antique brick of an iPod on life support, though. During my twenty mile long run, the fully charged iPod went dead at mile 20, and so did my legs. My iPod can barely reach 3 hours on a full charge now; it needs some iPod viagra.
Delicious Library, on the other hand, sounds awesome, especially since it supports iSight scanning. Arrives in 13 days. Can't wait.
Mary Meeker's report titled Update on the Digital World is available as a PDF. I'm a Meeker fan and happy to see her research available for free online instead of available only to wealthy Morgan Stanley clients.
Finally, something to listen to on that iPod of yours, whatever its generation. My Nov. issue of Wired arrived yesterday with a Creative Commons CD inside. Cool track list. Those who don't have a subscription and are too cheap to buy a copy of the newstand can download the tracks online at a variety of sites. For example, here's the CD in 320 kbps MP3 form as a BitTorrent, or as 192kbps MP3s from Nixlog.

Karen and I tried Skype

Karen and I tried Skype last night, both of us on Mac OS X, and it worked fine after I finally got my iSight to work as a microphone (I think you have to quit iChat AV to resolve an input conflict, though who knows for sure?). The sound quality on Skype is noticeably better than iChat's; perhaps it's the audio compression codec they use.
I've also caught up to the entire season of Lost using BitTorrent. Count me engrossed thus far.
Other things worth watching online: Eminem's video for his anti-Bush song "Mosh." I wonder which will be a greater aid to Kerry's election hopes next Tuesday: the angry rap polemic of Eminem or the the smooth drawl of the real, slimmer Shady himself, Bill Clinton, back on the campaign trail. Maybe the former, since Clinton and The New Yorker, who issued a long endorsement of Kerry in this week's issue, may be preaching to the converted, eloquent as they are. So far, MTV has not said if they'll air Eminem's video.
Finally, finally, MI-5 Vol. 2 will come out on DVD, but not until January 2005. Loved Vol. 1 (the show is called Spooks in the UK), and was never sure why season two wasn't out on DVD yet. Too bad I can't locate season two on BitTorrent anywhere.

Union Square Cafe

James, Angela, and I went to Union Square Cafe Sunday night. From the outside, it really does look like a small cafe. The interior is more spacious, though still cozy. Danny Meyer's restaurant, which opened in 1985, is a New York institution. We enjoyed both of the things it's famous for: chef Michael Romano's excellent New American/Tuscan cuisine, and the hospitality.
Our appetizers were the butternut squash gnocchi and terrine of duck foie gras with pear/apple chutney. The butternut squash gnocchi were super, and the terrine of foie gras solid, but I wish they had seared foie gras instead. For entrees, I had crispy duck, James the herb-roasted baby lamb chops with garlic potatoes and mustard greens, and Angela the special entree, hangar steak with basil risotto and chanterelle mushrooms. The lamb chops really stood out. Cooked to medium-rare perfection, and those garlic potatoes just melted in our mouths. For dessert, James ordered butterscotch mousse, Angela the pumpkin upside down cake, and I the Baked Alaska. The wine list is both extensive and impressive.
Our waiter, a very young guy, was extremely friendly and knowledgeable. I wonder, though, if the restaurant's hospitality would be as notable in another city. At restaurants of similar quality and price range ($9 to $16 for an appetizer, $24 to $30 for entrees, $8 to $10 for desserts), isn't top-notch service de rigueur? Or perhaps it's the warmth of the wait staff that's the novelty, not the service quality? Smiling, courteous waitstaff, a reliably solid meal--I can understand the restaurant's status as bedrock of the NY dining scene.
The three of us decided to try and visit one expensive and renowned New York restaurant a month (if a restaurant is good and cheap, you can visit anytime). Any and all foodies are welcome. For November, perhaps we'll target one of the hot new eats in the Time Warner building.

Another reason to see The Incredibles...

...as if you needed one. The first teaser trailer for Star Wars Episode III: Revenge of the Sith will debut with Pixar's latest movie on Nov 5, though members of StarWars.com get the trailer Nov. 4 in Quicktime, so it will inevitably make the rounds on the Internet as a BitTorrent and be mirrored up the wazoo. The teaser will also be shown on television the evening of Nov. 4.

Red Sox:Yankees as Kerry:Bush?

Rich Goliath tries to buy victory, but is turned back by slightly less wealthy foe (okay, let's call him David, to extend the metaphor; after all, a David did end up as series MVP) from Massachussetts. Maybe the Red Sox are showing Kerry the way. There's also still a chance that Stephen King is scripting all this using some eerie mentalism as he types the manuscript for Faithful.
I had predicted Houston and Boston to make the World Series, and I stand by that with the pitching matchup tonight. Houston:RedSox as Bush:Kerry is even better a baseball/politics parallel simply because of geography.
Okay, now that they've released Skype for Mac OS X, I'm ready to try it out. So Skype Me!

ParkingTicket.com. Ah, if only I'd known about this site while I still owned a car. [via TMQ]
Ken alerted me to the latest Bush gaffe. In a speech in Florida, he proudly proclaimed, "After standing on the stage, after the debates, I made it very plain we will not have an all-volunteer army." The crowd went deathly silent, looks of confusion everywhere. A few people shouted to correct him: "You mean we will have an all-volunteer army, right?" Umm, yeah. Freudian slip. I mean no, just a normal slip. Not Freudian.
Meanwhile, Teresa Heinz Kerry was making verbal gaffes of her own. Sometimes I think THK is just crazy. Actually, I think that all of the time.
Violinists: ask your doctor if Inderal is for you. I had no idea classical musicians were pill popping to overcome nerves. I wonder if figure skaters and gymnasts use beta-blockers, too (assuming they're not illegal in those sports).
The New Republic endorses John Kerry. Iran endorses Bush, much to the Bush campaign's dismay.
Man deposits one of those fake checks that arrive in one's junk mail. To his surprise, it cleared. An old story from a couple years back that still amuses, though that guy needs an editor. His constant self-promotion is grating.
Mindball is a game where two layers control a ball via brain waves. Most relaxed player wins. Loads of fun for your next board game night, especially contemplating all the naughtier variations of the game that could be played. It looks pricey, though. 20 000 SEK (~$2,800) for the multiplayer version, and the shipping page features a picture of a semi. [previous 2 stories via Metafilter]